Busy, Busy and Busy

April 28th, 2008

I am pretty busy recently, morning till evening, most of the time busy on my job, my works;
while at night busy on studying and preparing for my coming exam next month.

I understand that, as an investor, every weekday is another good chance to get profit as long as stock market is open!

However, I would so sorry that, I am going to rest for a while until my exam paper is over.

Still, thanks to everyone, but hopefully all of you will still continue to support my blog!

Invest in stock

April 22nd, 2008

if you are not US citizens or not staying in US, you are not advice to invest in US stock in this long time period as the US dollar is keep falling value. You may be earning an attractive returns from the stock but you might also end up with losing in currency exchange.

Furthermore, looking at the majors blue chips or big company stock price, most of them are still in the “falling season”, especially semiconductor industry or even whole technological industry and IT industry, eg. Intel, microsoft, google, broadcom, marvel, qimonda, etc.

In the mean while, Singapore stocks are remain stable during this month, alternatively small rising and small dropping. The STI is remain stable in 3200 level. The banking stocks in Singapore are different with the US one. They are most giving attractive dividends, shall price growing stronger.

During this period of time, many of Singapore stocks are giving out dividends, some of them are quite attractive, you may consider it. Of course, after executing the dividends, share price may fall accordingly, but some of them are good chip where I dont really worry about the share price to gain back to the initial level. Below are some of stocks which giving good dividends:
SPC
ComfortDelgro
SMB United
UOB
Sihuan
SMB united
etc etc etc…. for more, please refer to http://www.sgx.com

Will Crude oil price bring economic crisis?

April 19th, 2008

From Yahoo!

TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — Iran’s hard-line president declared that crude oil prices, now above $115 a barrel, are too low, state media reported Saturday.
President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told an oil and gas exhibition in Tehran on Friday that he thought the commodity still had to “discover its real value,” according to the Web site of Iran’s state-run television.
Oil prices have hit all-time highs above $115 a barrel in recent weeks, amid reports that oil and gasoline reserves in the United States were lower than expected and as the dollar sinks to record lows.
“The oil price of $115 a barrel in today’s global markets is a deceiving figure. Oil is a strategic commodity that needs to discover its real value,” the Web site quoted Ahmadinejad as saying.
Crude oil futures surged to a new trading record of $117 a barrel Friday following an attack on a key pipeline in Nigeria. The increase capped a week of record highs fueled by supply woes and the dollar’s weakness relative to other major currencies.
Ahmadinejad said despite high oil prices, the true value of crude oil, adjusted for inflation, is currently less than what it was in 1980.
“While the price of other commodities have increased, the economic value of the current oil price is even less than 1980,” he said.
But some figures suggest that today’s crude prices might have surpassed inflation-adjusted highs set in early 1980. Depending on how the adjustment is calculated, $38 a barrel then would be worth $96 to $103 or more today.
Ahmadinejad accused Western industrialized nations of “selfishness” in their quest for cheaper oil.
“When they get hold of oil, they assume that oil is a free commodity and belongs to them and has wrongly been placed in other territories. … This is the spirit of selfishness and arrogance,” Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying.
A host of supply and demand concerns in the U.S. and abroad, along with the dollar’s weakness, have bolstered oil prices, even as record retail gasoline prices in the U.S. appear to be dampening demand.
A weaker dollar makes commodities such as oil less attractive to investors as a hedge against inflation, and it makes oil more expensive to investors overseas. Analysts believe the weaker dollar is the primary reason oil has soared this year. The effect tends to reverse when the greenback gains ground.
Ahmadinejad called the U.S. currency “a handful of paper” without any global support.
Iran has stopped using the U.S. dollar in its oil transactions with the outside world, switching to currencies such as euro.
“The dollar is not money any longer but a handful of paper distributed in the world without commodity support,” the Web site quoted Ahmadinejad as saying.

-To me, crude oils price is too high, people are crazy!!!

2008 Forbes 2000, List of biggest global company

April 4th, 2008

A good investing strategy always lie on the good research by following the steps as:
1. Economy — Understand the big picture of the “big market”, Macroanalysis
2. Industry — Different industry may outperform and underperform at different business cycle in certain economy condition; e.g. Oil and gas company keep growing now.
3. Firm, Stock — Last but not least, this will be the direct “consideration” for an individual investor.

So shall we look at the global companies performance???Forbes has listed out 2008 global 2000 biggest companies. Surprisingly, Citigroup which has been stay at the first place in past few years, has been dropped to 24th this year. This most likely is due to the sub-prime crisis and credit crisis, and the write-off of the organization.

In the other way, the UK listed world largest bank — HSBC jumped to the first place this year and recorded US$2348 Billions of Assets. Can’t imagine about the figure? It is US$23,480,000,000,000.

As you can see from the list, you can see at the first 20 in the list, out of 20, 7 seats is occupied by Oil and gas related companies. “THANKS” to the surge of the oil prices!! This has made the rich, richer; but the poor, poorer!!

Japanese Car producer — TOYOTA has done a good job this year and able to stand at the 8th in global; Or the 1st place in Asia.

Credit Crisis is Over ???

April 2nd, 2008

Investors believe that the worst of the Credit crisis in US already over, and money started to flow back to the stock market.

Big news reported from banking sectors or financing sector, such as Lehman Brother and UBS, swiss has helped the stock market soar even in the bear run.

DJIA has surged nearly 400 points yesterday and most of the stock indexes close up at +3%. So, is it true the credit crisis is over and bull coming back? Well, we shall see…

Singapore stock market remain stable

March 31st, 2008

Due to the efforts from US Fed and government to stabilize the US economy; Asian market, most specifically here, the Singapore stock market stay stable at the moment.

Furthermore, the good news about FTA between Taiwan and Singapore last week has brought STI index rose back to the 3,000 level. It could be a good sign, and I think the singapore market will continue to remain stable, or slightly growing as long as no further bad news regarding US economy is announced.

Singapore Banking firms’ stock price all rose to their stable price; DBS and UOB are now at the $19 level and OCBC is able to stand at $8.20 level. Believe me, they will continue to grow!

Effects from Taiwan Politics

March 25th, 2008

Given the result of the Taiwan election, Mr. Ma succesfully won and ready to become the new Taiwan President. Due to his announcement that the FTA — Free Trade Agreement between Taiwan and Singapore, Taiwan and Singapore stock exchange get boosted these two days and I forsee such a big wave may continue for the time being until Mr. Ma begin on duty.

The ETF (Exchange traded fund) of Taiwan rose by 7% till the end of the market hours.
STI and Taiwan Stock index also rose by around 5% overall.

Banking stocks in singapore continue to rose in these two days, it maybe another good chance to invest again.

We are in challenging time

March 18th, 2008

President Bush declared “we’re in challenging times” and huddled Monday with top economic officials — including Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Christopher Cox.

Federal Reserve is going to take interest cut again, rates are continues to be cut again and again, but these does not seems help the stock market or even the economy. Stock market indexes are continues to plunge, and the economy crisis infected globally.

DJIA was dropped from the high at 13,500 three months ago to 11,900 the latest, in another words, within 3 months, DJIA index has already dropped about 12%. I, as a stock investor, I am deeply feeling the pain, and you? Doesn’t feel the pain? Just try to imagine the price of a cup of coffee is increase from $5 to $5.60; the fuel is increase from $2/litre to 2.24/litre; etc.Similarly to Asia stock market, STI has dropped from 3,400 to 2800 currently, or -18% within 3 months. I am still holding plenty of stocks, though most are blue chip which seems not serious affected by the bearish market; however, I am totally fed up towards the stock market. I think I will not enter into the stock market until the big BEAR get killed!!!

Good News to a Stock Market

March 12th, 2008

Fed Announces $200 Billion in Help for Banks, Leading Dow to Biggest Day in 5 Years

From Yahoo!

NEW YORK (AP) — The Fed promised a $200 billion booster shot for ailing markets — and Wall Street answered with its biggest bounce in more than five years.The Dow Jones industrials shot up more than 416 points, the biggest single-day point gain since July 2002, after the Federal Reserve announced the move as part of a worldwide effort to help struggling banks and mortgage providers.

Hoping to ease the credit crisis, the Fed — acting with the European Central Bank, the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank — agreed to loan investment banks money in exchange for debt, including slumping mortgage-backed securities.
The idea is to create a market for assets that investors have recently been too scared to buy. That freeze in demand had sent asset values plunging and caused huge losses for some of the world’s biggest banks.
After a series of hefty losses in stocks, the market hopes the central banks’ decision Tuesday might be more effective than previous moves — like rate cuts, which had led to initial stock pops that later fizzled.
“It’s not just a rate cut. I think it’s a very creative way to do financing,” said Anthony Conroy, managing director and head trader for BNY ConvergEx Group. “It shows the Fed is willing to do things that are a little out-of-the-box to shore up credit issues. I really think they went to the heart of the issue.”
Investors certainly seemed to like it: The Dow rose 416.66, or 3.6 percent, to 12,156.81. It was the biggest point jump in the Dow since a 447-point rise on July 29, 2002, and its widest one-day percentage gain since March 2003.
The Dow had lost more than 500 points in the past three sessions and is still down about 2,000 points from its October 2007 record high.
Broader stock indicators also soared. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index rose 47.28, or 3.7 percent, to 1,320.65, while the Nasdaq composite index surged 86.42, or about 4 percent, to 2,255.76.
It was the S&P’s biggest point gain since April 5, 2001, and the Nasdaq’s biggest since May 8, 2002.
The latest step by the central banks was seen as a direct lifeline to investment banks, which previously couldn’t borrow beyond already established Fed liquidity plans.
The plan basically allows Wall Street’s biggest institutions to put up troubled assets as collateral for loans, use the new capital to make money in the market, and then pay back the loan up to 28 days later.
Though eventually banks would be forced to take the troubled mortgage-backed debt back on their books, the plan still takes short-term pressure off them. Many of these banks will release first-quarter earnings reports next week.
“The big problem has been the financials, and this helps supply money directly to the banks and may take some of the need for aggressive rate cutting off the table,” said Peter Dunay, chief investment strategist at Meridian Equity Partners. “The Fed is basically going to take the bad loans off the banks’ books, and the market seems to be loving that idea.”
The Fed may have avoided dramatically slashing interest rates again when it meets next week. Economists remain concerned about the unrelenting rise in oil prices and the dollar’s weakness, which contribute to inflation — and cutting rates only adds to those pressures.
Government bond prices fell as stocks rallied. The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, spiked to 3.60 percent from 3.46 percent late Monday.
Financial sector stocks, many of which have dipped to multiyear lows in recent days on liquidity concerns, led the market higher Tuesday.
Citigroup Inc. rose $1.42, or 7.2 percent, to $21.11, Washington Mutual Inc. rose $1.72, or 17 percent, to $11.76, and Bank of America Corp. rose $1.33, or 3.8 percent, to $36.64.
Morgan Stanley rose $4.19, or 10.9 percent, to $42.49, Lehman Brothers rose $3.33, or 7.8 percent, to $46.31, and Merrill Lynch rose $2.76, or 6.4 percent, to $45.60.
Bear Stearns Cos. rebounded from losses to rise 67 cents to $62.97, even after an analyst said the No. 5 U.S. investment bank might need to sell itself, or layoff more staff, to stay afloat. The cost to insure Bear Stearns bonds has been spiking to all-time highs. A spokesman for Bear Stearns didn’t immediately return telephone calls.
The Fed’s announcement overshadowed a report from the Commerce Department that showed the United States’ trade deficit grew larger in January. The latest snapshot of the economy showed that the trade gap increased to $58.2 billion — the highest since November.
The primary reason behind the widening trade deficit is high oil prices. Crude rose as high as $109.72 in premarket trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange before ending at a new settlement record of $108.75. The weak dollar has contributed to oil’s rally from $87 a barrel in January.
Gold prices rose, while the dollar edged up against most other major currencies.
The only sector posting major losses Tuesday was health care, which has been strong in recent months. WellPoint Inc. fell after Goldman Sachs trimmed its ratings in the managed care sector to neutral from attractive. The investment bank singled out WellPoint’s performance amid pricing pressures. The stock plunged $18.66, or 28 percent, to $47.26.
Google Inc. shares spiked after European Union regulators cleared the Internet company’s $3.1 billion bid for online ad tracker DoubleClick. Shares of Google rose $26.22, or 6.3 percent, to $439.84.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 29.84, or 4.63 percent, to 673.81.
Advancing issues surpassed decliners by more than 5-to-1 on the New York Stock Exchange. Consolidated volume came to 5.17 billion shares, up sharply from 4.15 billion shares Monday.
Stocks overseas rebounded. Japan’s Nikkei 225 stock average rose 1.01 percent, while Hong Kong’s market closed up 1.28 percent higher. Britain’s FTSE-100 rose 1.7 percent, Germany was up 2.01 percent, and France added 1.61 percent.

–This good news not only bring a big boom to US stock market but also Asia countries’ Stock market in the next day. Especially for banking stock, most are rose about 5% at the opening.

Good stock ready to buy in and keep for (relatively) long term

March 11th, 2008
Under Nasdaq: OIIM
O2Micro International Limited.

I worked in this company before, and looked through the performance of the company as well as the stock price chart throughout the years. This is almost the good time to buy in the stock and wait for it to rise in future. you may ask, for how long? I am not sure, with considerations of the bad economy situation in US. But I am relatively confidence that some capital gains could be achieved.

The current stock price is $7 to $8. Of course it would be the best to wait (if possible) till it drops to the historical lowest price at $5. However, if you were able to gain and sell it off at at least $15, why do you care about the $2 or $3? Hmmm…. anyway, these are just my personal opinions.

Click to view the Chart inYahoo!